Lugano 1-3 St. Gallen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 26 Nov 2025

Lugano
1 - 3 HT 1 - 1
St. Gallen
📅26/11/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Switzerland - Super League – 2025/2026

Lugano vs St. Gallen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.07
Over
56%
1.72
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1
22%
3.87
2-3
47%
1.83
4-5
25%
3.09
6+
6%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.52
1/2
2%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.0
X/1
17%
4.75
X/2
10%
8.24
X/X
14%
5.27
2/1
3%
22.7
2/2
14%
5.93
2/X
5%
14.0
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Lugano v St. Gallen — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Lugano The Market 54%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Gallen The Market 29%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.66 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.39
1.13 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.56
Weak Attack Strength Average
Strong Defense Strength Average
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 80%
23 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2

Lugano vs St. Gallen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lugano
1W-2D-3L
AWAY St. Gallen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.28 xG 1.27
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
436 Passes 235
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.09.2025 St. Gallen St. Gallen 1-0 HT 1-0 Lugano Lugano İSV
13.04.2025 Lugano Lugano 1-1 HT 0-0 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
05.02.2025 St. Gallen St. Gallen 2-1 HT 0-1 Lugano Lugano İSV
01.09.2024 Lugano Lugano 1-1 HT 1-1 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
04.05.2024 Lugano Lugano 0-1 HT 0-1 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
09.03.2024 St. Gallen St. Gallen 2-3 HT 2-1 Lugano Lugano İSV

Lugano 1-3 St. Gallen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lugano
1 - 3
AWAY St. Gallen
0.90 xG 1.18
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
367 Passes 176
82% Pass Accuracy 66%
26 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Lugano vs St. Gallen
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

St. Gallen beat Lugano 3-1 on the road. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We leaned Lugano at 50% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

By the numbers, Lugano had 62% of the ball to St. Gallen's 38%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 0.90 to 1.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Gallen led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lugano and 1.33 for St. Gallen.

Lugano vs St. Gallen Result & Final Score

Lugano 1 - 3 St. Gallen in the Switzerland - Super League on 26/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Lugano vs St. Gallen Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Lugano win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Lugano 50%, draw 25%, St. Gallen 25%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lugano) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lugano) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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