Gold Coast Knights 3-2 Brisbane Roar II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 10 May 2026

📅10/05/2026 · 🕒09:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.53
Draw
15%
4.19
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.5
No
52%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
27%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
61%
+1.7pp
15%
Draw
21%
-6.0pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
62%
-14.3pp
52%
BTTS No
38%
+14.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gold Coast Knights EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Brisbane Roar II EU Bookmakers 21%
-11% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.88/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.29/0.92
-9% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
393 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.3 Crosses 14.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gold Coast Knights
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Brisbane Roar II
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 9
11 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.07.2025 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 1-1 HT 1-0 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVSQ
09.07.2025 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 0-1 HT 0-1 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVSQ
27.07.2024 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 0-1 HT 0-0 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVNPL
05.04.2024 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 4-2 HT 4-1 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVSQ
21.07.2023 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 2-3 HT 1-1 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVSQ
22.04.2023 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 2-1 HT 2-1 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVNPL
POST-MATCH Gold Coast Knights vs Brisbane Roar II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gold Coast Knights edged past Brisbane Roar II 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gold Coast Knights as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gold Coast Knights had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Gold Coast Knights and 1.17 for Brisbane Roar II.

What was the final score of Gold Coast Knights vs Brisbane Roar II?

Gold Coast Knights 3-2 Brisbane Roar II in the Australia - National Premier League on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gold Coast Knights vs Brisbane Roar II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gold Coast Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Gold Coast Knights 63%, draw 15%, Brisbane Roar II 22%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gold Coast Knights), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gold Coast Knights) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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