Genk 3-0 Westerlo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 10 May 2026

📅10/05/2026 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.64
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
19%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.61
Over 2.5
54%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
5.69
2-3 Goals
38%
2.02
4-5 Goals
25%
2.51
6+ Goals
12%
5.53
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.69 — our 25% vs market 12.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.01
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.65
X/1
16%
4.51
X/2
7%
10.15
X/X
11%
6.77
2/1
10%
18.55
2/2
6%
6.85
2/X
6%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Genk win — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
57%
+1.1pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.3pp
19%
Away Win
21%
-2.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
35%
+11.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
65%
-11.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
-10.2pp
47%
BTTS No
37%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genk EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Westerlo EU Bookmakers 24%
+3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
2.03/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/2.06
-11% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -18%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
411 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
30.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
23.1 Crosses 15.1
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genk
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Westerlo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.62 xG 0.94
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
458 Passes 310
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
18.04.2026 Westerlo Westerlo 1-2 HT 0-0 Genk Genk BEL
14.12.2025 Genk Genk 1-1 HT 0-1 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
02.11.2025 Westerlo Westerlo 0-1 HT 0-1 Genk Genk BEL
25.01.2025 Westerlo Westerlo 1-2 HT 0-2 Genk Genk BEL
30.08.2024 Genk Genk 1-0 HT 0-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
17.03.2024 Westerlo Westerlo 1-1 HT 0-0 Genk Genk BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Genk
3-0
AWAY Westerlo
1.23 xG 1.81
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
320 Passes 322
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
27 Box Touches 30
15 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Genk vs Westerlo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genk ran out comfortable winners over Westerlo 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Genk as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Genk had 50% of the ball to Westerlo's 50%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 1.23 to 1.81 — the balance of chances actually favoured Westerlo.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genk had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Genk and 0.67 for Westerlo.

What was the final score of Genk vs Westerlo?

Genk 3-0 Westerlo in the Belgium - Pro League on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genk vs Westerlo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Genk win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Genk 58%, draw 23%, Westerlo 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Genk), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Genk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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