Westerlo 1-2 Genk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
39%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.46
No
40%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.63
2-3 Goals
42%
1.89
4-5 Goals
24%
2.71
6+ Goals
12%
7.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.53
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
23.95
1/X
7%
11.9
X/1
14%
6.08
X/2
13%
6.07
X/X
10%
5.39
2/1
5%
23.95
2/2
17%
3.52
2/X
12%
11.9
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.95 — our 9% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
37%
-5.4pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.8pp
39%
Away Win
37%
+2.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.3pp
60%
BTTS Yes
64%
-4.1pp
40%
BTTS No
36%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Westerlo EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Genk EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +17%
1.94/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/1.41
+31% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
318 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 80%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.5
19.4 Crosses 16.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Westerlo
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Genk
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.97 xG 1.59
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
326 Passes 440
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.12.2025 Genk Genk 1-1 HT 0-1 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
02.11.2025 Westerlo Westerlo 0-1 HT 0-1 Genk Genk BEL
25.01.2025 Westerlo Westerlo 1-2 HT 0-2 Genk Genk BEL
30.08.2024 Genk Genk 1-0 HT 0-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
17.03.2024 Westerlo Westerlo 1-1 HT 0-0 Genk Genk BEL
01.10.2023 Genk Genk 3-3 HT 2-1 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Westerlo
1-2
AWAY Genk
0.90 xG 2.34
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
374 Passes 343
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
30 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Westerlo vs Genk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genk squeezed past Westerlo 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 29% / 39% — and on the day Genk made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Westerlo had 52% of the ball to Genk's 48%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 0.90 to 2.34 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Genk's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genk led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Westerlo and 1.50 for Genk.

What was the final score of Westerlo vs Genk?

Westerlo 1-2 Genk in the Belgium - Pro League on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Westerlo vs Genk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Genk win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Westerlo 32%, draw 29%, Genk 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Genk), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Genk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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