Mechelen 1-2 Anderlecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
45%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.91
Over 2.5
57%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.66
No
39%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.32
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.33
6+ Goals
13%
12.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.05
1/2
6%
26.5
1/X
6%
12.7
X/1
7%
6.06
X/2 EV+ ✗
21%
5.45
X/X
11%
4.63
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
18%
3.44
2/X
8%
12.55
Value flag · X/2 at 5.45 — our 21% vs market 14.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
35%
-4.9pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.8pp
45%
Away Win
38%
+6.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
48%
-5.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
52%
+5.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
56%
+4.3pp
40%
BTTS No
44%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mechelen EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Anderlecht EU Bookmakers 42%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -11%
1.59/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.59
+28% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +0%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 78%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
19.1 Crosses 17.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mechelen
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Anderlecht
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.44 xG 1.98
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
361 Passes 385
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 29
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2026 Mechelen Mechelen 1-0 HT 0-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
01.11.2025 Anderlecht Anderlecht 3-1 HT 2-1 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
26.01.2025 Anderlecht Anderlecht 4-1 HT 2-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
17.08.2024 Mechelen Mechelen 1-3 HT 1-2 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
01.02.2024 Mechelen Mechelen 2-2 HT 0-1 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
07.10.2023 Anderlecht Anderlecht 3-1 HT 1-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mechelen
1-2
AWAY Anderlecht
1.47 xG 1.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
18 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
290 Passes 337
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
29 Box Touches 27
22 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Mechelen vs Anderlecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Anderlecht edged past Mechelen 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Anderlecht as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Mechelen had 47% of the ball to Anderlecht's 53%, shots finished 18-13, expected goals 1.47 to 1.17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Anderlecht led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mechelen and 2.50 for Anderlecht.

What was the final score of Mechelen vs Anderlecht?

Mechelen 1-2 Anderlecht in the Belgium - Pro League on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mechelen vs Anderlecht?

Before kick-off our model rated an Anderlecht win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Mechelen 30%, draw 25%, Anderlecht 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Anderlecht), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Anderlecht) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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