Sporting Charleroi 1-2 Standard Liege — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
21%
3.28
Away
36%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.75
Over 2.5
51%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.82
No
46%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.84
2-3 Goals
44%
1.73
4-5 Goals
23%
3.8
6+ Goals
9%
17.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.82
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
17%
4.61
X/2
16%
7.07
X/X
7%
4.39
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
26.0
2/2
14%
5.45
2/X
7%
14.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.0 — our 8% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-3.1pp
21%
Draw
27%
-6.1pp
36%
Away Win
27%
+9.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
53%
-4.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
47%
+4.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.1pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Charleroi EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Standard Liege EU Bookmakers 30%
-2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +15%
1.67/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.41
-4% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
351 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
22.8 Crosses 15.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Charleroi
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Standard Liege
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.50 xG 1.11
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
406 Passes 292
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.01.2026 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 2-0 HT 2-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
31.10.2025 Standard Liege Standard Liege 3-1 HT 1-1 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
04.05.2025 Standard Liege Standard Liege 0-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
06.04.2025 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-0 HT 1-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
30.11.2024 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-1 HT 0-1 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
20.10.2024 Standard Liege Standard Liege 2-1 HT 2-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Charleroi
1-2
AWAY Standard Liege
1.73 xG 0.50
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
405 Passes 276
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 11
29 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sporting Charleroi vs Standard Liege
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Standard Liege edged past Sporting Charleroi 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting Charleroi at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Sporting Charleroi had 59% of the ball to Standard Liege's 41%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.73 to 0.50 — the balance of chances actually favoured Sporting Charleroi.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Charleroi had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sporting Charleroi and 1.00 for Standard Liege.

What was the final score of Sporting Charleroi vs Standard Liege?

Sporting Charleroi 1-2 Standard Liege in the Belgium - Pro League on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Charleroi vs Standard Liege?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Charleroi win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sporting Charleroi 43%, draw 21%, Standard Liege 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sporting Charleroi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Charleroi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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