Croatia Zmijavci vs Jarun Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Croatia Zmijavci v Jarun — Team-Based Signals
Croatia Zmijavci vs Jarun Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Jarun
HIR2
Croatia Zmijavci 1-2 Jarun — Actual Match Statistics
Jarun squeezed past Croatia Zmijavci 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match lean was Croatia Zmijavci at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Croatia Zmijavci had 64% of the ball to Jarun's 36%, shots finished 19-8.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Croatia Zmijavci and 1.33 for Jarun.
What was the final score of Croatia Zmijavci vs Jarun?
Croatia Zmijavci 1-2 Jarun in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Croatia Zmijavci vs Jarun?
Before kick-off our model rated a Croatia Zmijavci win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Croatia Zmijavci 54%, draw 25%, Jarun 21%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.