North District 2-4 Lee Man — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 10 May 2026

📅10/05/2026 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.17
Draw
19%
3.72
Away
49%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.41
No
46%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
33%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+3.6pp
19%
Draw
23%
-4.1pp
49%
Away Win
49%
+0.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
67%
-12.6pp
46%
BTTS No
33%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME North District EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Lee Man EU Bookmakers 53%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
2.22/2.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/1.34
+45% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -10%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
283 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME North District
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Lee Man
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
12.04.2026 North District North District 3-3 HT 0-1 Lee Man Lee Man HK1
23.11.2025 Lee Man Lee Man 2-2 HT 1-2 North District North District HK1
25.01.2025 Lee Man Lee Man 4-3 HT 0-1 North District North District HK1
20.10.2024 Lee Man Lee Man 4-1 HT 1-1 North District North District HK1
05.05.2024 North District North District 0-4 HT 0-1 Lee Man Lee Man HK1
10.03.2024 Lee Man Lee Man 4-0 HT 2-0 North District North District HK1
POST-MATCH North District vs Lee Man
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lee Man beat North District 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lee Man as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lee Man led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for North District and 3.50 for Lee Man.

What was the final score of North District vs Lee Man?

North District 2-4 Lee Man in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for North District vs Lee Man?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lee Man win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split North District 31%, draw 19%, Lee Man 49%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lee Man), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lee Man) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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