North District 3-3 Lee Man — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
46%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.43
No
45%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
+0.4pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.3pp
46%
Away Win
48%
-1.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
66%
-10.9pp
45%
BTTS No
34%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME North District EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Lee Man EU Bookmakers 52%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
2.05/2.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/0.80
+44% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +39%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
255 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME North District
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Lee Man
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
23.11.2025 Lee Man Lee Man 2-2 HT 1-2 North District North District HK1
25.01.2025 Lee Man Lee Man 4-3 HT 0-1 North District North District HK1
20.10.2024 Lee Man Lee Man 4-1 HT 1-1 North District North District HK1
05.05.2024 North District North District 0-4 HT 0-1 Lee Man Lee Man HK1
10.03.2024 Lee Man Lee Man 4-0 HT 2-0 North District North District HK1
07.01.2024 North District North District 3-1 HT 0-0 Lee Man Lee Man HONSAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME North District
3-3
AWAY Lee Man
51% Ball Possession 49%
21 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH North District vs Lee Man
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

North District and Lee Man couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Lee Man at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, North District had 51% of the ball to Lee Man's 49%, shots finished 21-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lee Man led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for North District and 3.17 for Lee Man.

What was the final score of North District vs Lee Man?

North District 3-3 Lee Man in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for North District vs Lee Man?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lee Man win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split North District 29%, draw 25%, Lee Man 46%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lee Man) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lee Man) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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