Guadalajara vs Tigres UANL Prediction — Model Probabilities
Guadalajara v Tigres UANL — Team-Based Signals
Guadalajara vs Tigres UANL Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Guadalajara 2-0 Tigres UANL — Actual Match Statistics
Guadalajara put daylight between themselves and Tigres UANL 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Guadalajara as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 46% and both teams to score at 49%. At 1.69 (~59%), the BTTS-yes price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.
On the day, Guadalajara had 69% of the ball to Tigres UANL's 31%, shots finished 29-5, expected goals 2.15 to 0.63.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tigres UANL led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Guadalajara and 1.67 for Tigres UANL.
Guadalajara vs Tigres UANL Result & Final Score
Guadalajara 2-0 Tigres UANL in the Mexico - Primera on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Guadalajara vs Tigres UANL Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Guadalajara 45%, draw 26%, Tigres UANL 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guadalajara), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.