FC Sheriff vs Zimbru Prediction — Model Probabilities
FC Sheriff v Zimbru — Team-Based Signals
FC Sheriff vs Zimbru Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
FC Sheriff 1-0 Zimbru — Actual Match Statistics
FC Sheriff nicked a narrow win over Zimbru 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had FC Sheriff as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 52% and both teams to score at 52%, coin-flips both. At 1.68 (~60%), the under-2.5 price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.
Under the surface, Zimbru saw more of the ball, 54% to 46%, shots finished 8-9.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zimbru led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for FC Sheriff against 1.50 for Zimbru.
FC Sheriff vs Zimbru Result & Final Score
FC Sheriff 1-0 Zimbru in the Moldova - National League on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
FC Sheriff vs Zimbru Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a FC Sheriff win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split FC Sheriff 50%, draw 24%, Zimbru 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Sheriff) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.