FC Sheriff 2-3 Zimbru — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 27 Jul 2025

📅27/07/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.33
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
16%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.74
Over 2.5
53%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.6
No
53%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
4%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
71%
-10.2pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.2pp
16%
Away Win
9%
+7.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
54%
-6.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
46%
+6.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
34%
+12.6pp
53%
BTTS No
66%
-12.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Sheriff EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Zimbru EU Bookmakers 12%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +9%
2.18/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/2.15
-19% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +15%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
369 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Sheriff
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Zimbru
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.05.2025 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 1-0 HT 0-0 Zimbru Zimbru MOLDK
30.04.2025 Zimbru Zimbru 1-2 HT 0-2 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLDK
26.04.2025 Zimbru Zimbru 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
15.03.2025 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 0-0 HT 0-0 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
27.10.2024 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 4-2 HT 3-1 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
25.08.2024 Zimbru Zimbru 1-2 HT 1-2 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Sheriff
2-3
AWAY Zimbru
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FC Sheriff vs Zimbru
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zimbru squeezed past FC Sheriff 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. FC Sheriff carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, FC Sheriff had 57% of the ball to Zimbru's 43%, shots finished 13-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Sheriff had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for FC Sheriff and 0.83 for Zimbru.

What was the final score of FC Sheriff vs Zimbru?

FC Sheriff 2-3 Zimbru in the Moldova - National League on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Sheriff vs Zimbru?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Sheriff win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split FC Sheriff 61%, draw 23%, Zimbru 16%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (FC Sheriff), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Sheriff) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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