Milsami 3-1 Sparta Selemet — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 27 Jul 2025

📅27/07/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.11
Draw
20%
8.11
Away
12%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.67
No
58%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
25%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
85%
-17.0pp
20%
Draw
9%
+10.6pp
13%
Away Win
6%
+6.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
33%
+8.6pp
58%
BTTS No
67%
-8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milsami EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Selemet EU Bookmakers 9%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
3.72/0.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/3.48
+42% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -34%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
382 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Milsami
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Sparta Selemet
3.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
14.05.2025 Sparta Selemet 3-3 HT 1-2 Milsami Milsami MOLDK
10.05.2025 Milsami Milsami 1-1 HT 0-0 Sparta Selemet MOLD
30.04.2025 Milsami Milsami 5-0 HT 1-0 Sparta Selemet MOLDK
06.04.2025 Sparta Selemet 1-6 HT 1-3 Milsami Milsami MOLD
24.09.2023 Sparta Selemet 1-2 HT 1-0 Milsami Milsami MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milsami
3-1
AWAY Sparta Selemet
59% Ball Possession 41%
26 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Milsami vs Sparta Selemet
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Milsami got the better of Sparta Selemet 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Milsami as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Milsami had 59% of the ball to Sparta Selemet's 41%, shots finished 26-5.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Milsami had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.40 goals for Milsami and 1.20 for Sparta Selemet.

What was the final score of Milsami vs Sparta Selemet?

Milsami 3-1 Sparta Selemet in the Moldova - National League on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Milsami vs Sparta Selemet?

Before kick-off our model rated a Milsami win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Milsami 68%, draw 20%, Sparta Selemet 13%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Milsami) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Milsami) ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MOLD More Moldova - National League
27 Jul 2025
20:00 Petrocub vs Dacia-Buiucani Analysis →
20:00 FC Sheriff vs Zimbru Analysis →