Zimbru 2-0 FC Sheriff — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
24%
2.94
Away
41%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.67
Over 2.5
52%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.85
No
45%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
-0.4pp
24%
Draw
30%
-6.6pp
41%
Away Win
34%
+7.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
56%
-8.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
44%
+8.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
50%
+4.6pp
45%
BTTS No
50%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zimbru EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Sheriff EU Bookmakers 38%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
2.15/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.28
+84% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
296 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zimbru
1W-2D-3L
AWAY FC Sheriff
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.07.2025 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 2-3 HT 1-2 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
14.05.2025 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 1-0 HT 0-0 Zimbru Zimbru MOLDK
30.04.2025 Zimbru Zimbru 1-2 HT 0-2 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLDK
26.04.2025 Zimbru Zimbru 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
15.03.2025 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 0-0 HT 0-0 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
27.10.2024 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 4-2 HT 3-1 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zimbru
2-0
AWAY FC Sheriff
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Zimbru vs FC Sheriff
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zimbru saw off FC Sheriff 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was FC Sheriff at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zimbru had 40% of the ball to FC Sheriff's 60%, shots finished 6-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Sheriff led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Zimbru and 1.67 for FC Sheriff.

What was the final score of Zimbru vs FC Sheriff?

Zimbru 2-0 FC Sheriff in the Moldova - National League on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zimbru vs FC Sheriff?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Sheriff win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Zimbru 35%, draw 24%, FC Sheriff 41%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Sheriff) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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MOLD More Moldova - National League
21 Sep 2025
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