FC Sheriff 0-1 Zimbru — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
25%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+1.5pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.7pp
25%
Away Win
29%
-4.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.0pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Sheriff EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Zimbru EU Bookmakers 32%
+42% / +42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/0.90
-43% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +93%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
335 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Sheriff
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Zimbru
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2025 Zimbru Zimbru 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
27.07.2025 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 2-3 HT 1-2 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
14.05.2025 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 1-0 HT 0-0 Zimbru Zimbru MOLDK
30.04.2025 Zimbru Zimbru 1-2 HT 0-2 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLDK
26.04.2025 Zimbru Zimbru 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
15.03.2025 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 0-0 HT 0-0 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Sheriff
0-1
AWAY Zimbru
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Sheriff vs Zimbru
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zimbru squeezed past FC Sheriff 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was FC Sheriff at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, FC Sheriff had 46% of the ball to Zimbru's 54%, shots finished 10-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Sheriff and 1.17 for Zimbru.

What was the final score of FC Sheriff vs Zimbru?

FC Sheriff 0-1 Zimbru in the Moldova - National League on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Sheriff vs Zimbru?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Sheriff win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split FC Sheriff 45%, draw 30%, Zimbru 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FC Sheriff), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Sheriff) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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MOLD More Moldova - National League
23 Nov 2025
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