Al Riyadh vs Al Fateh Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Riyadh v Al Fateh — Team-Based Signals
Al Riyadh vs Al Fateh Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Al Fateh
SUUD
Al Riyadh 1-0 Al Fateh — Actual Match Statistics
Al Riyadh edged past Al Fateh 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Al Riyadh found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Al Riyadh had 40% of the ball to Al Fateh's 60%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 2.25 to 0.64 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Riyadh's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Fateh led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Riyadh and 1.83 for Al Fateh.
What was the final score of Al Riyadh vs Al Fateh?
Al Riyadh 1-0 Al Fateh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Riyadh vs Al Fateh?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Fateh win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Al Riyadh 36%, draw 26%, Al Fateh 38%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.