AEK Atina vs Panathinaikos Prediction — Model Probabilities
AEK Atina v Panathinaikos — Team-Based Signals
AEK Atina vs Panathinaikos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
AEK Atina 2-1 Panathinaikos — Actual Match Statistics
AEK Atina edged past Panathinaikos 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had AEK Atina as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 51% and both teams to score at 48%.
On the day, possession split 62% to 38% in AEK Atina's favour, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 2.08 to 0.47 — on chances created, AEK Atina won this by more than the scoreboard admits.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Panathinaikos led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for AEK Atina against 1.33 for Panathinaikos.
AEK Atina vs Panathinaikos Result & Final Score
AEK Atina 2 - 1 Panathinaikos in the Greece - Super League on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
AEK Atina vs Panathinaikos Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a AEK Atina win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split AEK Atina 67%, draw 19%, Panathinaikos 14%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AEK Atina), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.