Dundalk vs Drogheda United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Dundalk v Drogheda United — Team-Based Signals
Dundalk vs Drogheda United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Dundalk 1-2 Drogheda United — Actual Match Statistics
Drogheda United squeezed past Dundalk 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Dundalk at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 1.44 to 1.25.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundalk had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dundalk and 1.00 for Drogheda United.
What was the final score of Dundalk vs Drogheda United?
Dundalk 1-2 Drogheda United in the Ireland - Premier League on 10/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Dundalk vs Drogheda United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Dundalk win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Dundalk 56%, draw 24%, Drogheda United 20%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dundalk) went the other way.