Oldham Athletic 3-0 Braintree Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 10 Aug 2024

Oldham Athletic
3-0 HT 2-0
Braintree Town
📅10/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Oldham Athletic vs Braintree Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.82
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
34%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.06
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.82
6+ Goals
8%
16.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.06 — our 32% vs market 27.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.44
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.45
X/1
13%
4.22
X/2 EV+ ✗
15%
8.7
X/X
11%
4.4
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
13%
6.8
2/X
7%
14.3
Value flag · X/2 at 8.7 — our 15% vs market 7.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
51%
-13.9pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
34%
Away Win
22%
+12.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.1pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Oldham Athletic v Braintree Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oldham Athletic EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Braintree Town EU Bookmakers 25%
-9% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +4%
1.58/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.41
-2% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
376 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards –

Oldham Athletic 3-0 Braintree Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oldham Athletic
3-0
AWAY Braintree Town
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Oldham Athletic vs Braintree Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oldham Athletic ran out comfortable winners over Braintree Town 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Oldham Athletic found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Oldham Athletic had 49% of the ball to Braintree Town's 51%, shots finished 9-4.

What was the final score of Oldham Athletic vs Braintree Town?

Oldham Athletic 3-0 Braintree Town in the England - National League on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oldham Athletic vs Braintree Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oldham Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Oldham Athletic 37%, draw 28%, Braintree Town 34%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oldham Athletic), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Oldham Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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