Buxton vs Leamington Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Buxton v Leamington — Team-Based Signals
Buxton vs Leamington Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Buxton
İCON
1-1
HT 0-0
Leamington
İCON
Buxton 2-1 Leamington — Actual Match Statistics
Buxton edged past Leamington 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Buxton as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Buxton had 67% of the ball to Leamington's 33%, shots finished 7-7.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Buxton had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Buxton and 0.50 for Leamington.
What was the final score of Buxton vs Leamington?
Buxton 2-1 Leamington in the England - Conference on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Buxton vs Leamington?
Before kick-off our model rated a Buxton win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Buxton 41%, draw 27%, Leamington 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Buxton) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.