Weston-super-Mare 3-4 Worthing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
34%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.13
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
3.05
6+ Goals
11%
9.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.5pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.4pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-4.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.4pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Weston-super-Mare EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Worthing EU Bookmakers 43%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +6%
1.06/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/1.27
-20% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
301 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Weston-super-Mare
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Worthing
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
05.12.2023 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 4-0 HT 0-0 Worthing Worthing İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Weston-super-Mare
3-4
AWAY Worthing
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Weston-super-Mare vs Worthing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Worthing edged past Weston-super-Mare 4-3 away from home. It was 3-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) promised a tight game; Worthing found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Weston-super-Mare had 36% of the ball to Worthing's 64%, shots finished 8-13.

What was the final score of Weston-super-Mare vs Worthing?

Weston-super-Mare 3-4 Worthing in the England - Conference on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Weston-super-Mare vs Worthing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Weston-super-Mare win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Weston-super-Mare 37%, draw 29%, Worthing 34%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Weston-super-Mare), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Weston-super-Mare) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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