Swarovski Tirol 3-1 LASK Linz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.17
Draw
19%
3.45
Away
53%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.03
Over 2.5
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.86
2-3 Goals
38%
1.86
4-5 Goals
27%
3.25
6+ Goals
11%
11.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.17
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
23.05
1/X
7%
13.55
X/1
7%
7.34
X/2
16%
4.86
X/X
6%
5.1
2/1
7%
32.5
2/2
28%
2.74
2/X
6%
12.85
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.05 — our 9% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
28%
-0.1pp
19%
Draw
26%
-6.1pp
53%
Away Win
46%
+6.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
45%
-2.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
55%
+2.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.6pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swarovski Tirol EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY LASK Linz EU Bookmakers 50%
+6% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +14%
1.21/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.03
+14% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +32%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
274 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 76%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
16.7 Crosses 16.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swarovski Tirol
0W-1D-5L
AWAY LASK Linz
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.95 xG 2.01
42% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
258 Passes 420
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 29
15 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.05.2025 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 1-3 HT 0-0 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
18.04.2025 LASK Linz LASK Linz 2-0 HT 0-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
09.03.2025 LASK Linz LASK Linz 2-1 HT 1-1 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
20.10.2024 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 1-2 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
25.11.2023 LASK Linz LASK Linz 1-0 HT 1-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
19.08.2023 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 1-1 HT 1-0 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Swarovski Tirol
3-1
AWAY LASK Linz
3.37 xG 0.44
37% Ball Possession 63%
19 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 8
215 Passes 448
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
32 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Swarovski Tirol vs LASK Linz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swarovski Tirol got the better of LASK Linz 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was LASK Linz at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Swarovski Tirol had 37% of the ball to LASK Linz's 63%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 3.37 to 0.44.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, LASK Linz led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Swarovski Tirol and 1.83 for LASK Linz.

What was the final score of Swarovski Tirol vs LASK Linz?

Swarovski Tirol 3-1 LASK Linz in the Austria - Bundesliga on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swarovski Tirol vs LASK Linz?

Before kick-off our model rated an LASK Linz win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Swarovski Tirol 28%, draw 19%, LASK Linz 53%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (LASK Linz) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (LASK Linz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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