Sturm Graz vs Rapid Wien Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sturm Graz v Rapid Wien — Team-Based Signals
Sturm Graz vs Rapid Wien Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Sturm Graz 1-2 Rapid Wien — Actual Match Statistics
Rapid Wien nicked a narrow win over Sturm Graz 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Sturm Graz at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.
On the day, Sturm Graz had 60% of the ball to Rapid Wien's 40%, shots finished 20-16, expected goals 2.15 to 1.97.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sturm Graz had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sturm Graz and 1.17 for Rapid Wien.
What was the final score of Sturm Graz vs Rapid Wien?
Sturm Graz 1-2 Rapid Wien in the Austria - Bundesliga on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sturm Graz vs Rapid Wien?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sturm Graz win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sturm Graz 47%, draw 27%, Rapid Wien 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sturm Graz) went the other way.