Sturm Graz vs Rapid Wien Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sturm Graz v Rapid Wien — Team-Based Signals
Sturm Graz vs Rapid Wien Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Sturm Graz 2-0 Rapid Wien — Actual Match Statistics
Sturm Graz beat Rapid Wien 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sturm Graz as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Sturm Graz had 43% of the ball to Rapid Wien's 57%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.23 to 1.14.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sturm Graz had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sturm Graz and 0.83 for Rapid Wien.
What was the final score of Sturm Graz vs Rapid Wien?
Sturm Graz 2-0 Rapid Wien in the Austria - Bundesliga on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sturm Graz vs Rapid Wien?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sturm Graz win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Sturm Graz 49%, draw 26%, Rapid Wien 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sturm Graz) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.