Rapid Wien vs Sturm Graz Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rapid Wien v Sturm Graz — Team-Based Signals
Rapid Wien vs Sturm Graz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Rapid Wien 3-1 Sturm Graz — Actual Match Statistics
Rapid Wien got the better of Sturm Graz 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; Rapid Wien found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Rapid Wien had 57% of the ball to Sturm Graz's 43%, shots finished 19-13, expected goals 1.39 to 2.39 — on chances, Sturm Graz could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sturm Graz led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Rapid Wien and 1.50 for Sturm Graz.
What was the final score of Rapid Wien vs Sturm Graz?
Rapid Wien 3-1 Sturm Graz in the Austria - Bundesliga on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Rapid Wien vs Sturm Graz?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sturm Graz win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Rapid Wien 33%, draw 28%, Sturm Graz 39%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sturm Graz) went the other way.