Siroki Brijeg 1-3 Velez Mostar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
49%
+1.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.8pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Siroki Brijeg EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Velez Mostar EU Bookmakers 27%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.17/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.09
-24% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
292 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Siroki Brijeg
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Velez Mostar
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.03.2025 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 2-5 HT 0-2 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
12.03.2025 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 1-2 HT 0-1 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSK
26.02.2025 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 2-0 HT 1-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSK
23.11.2024 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 3-1 HT 2-0 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSN
18.08.2024 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 0-2 HT 0-1 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
11.05.2024 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 0-1 HT 0-1 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Siroki Brijeg
1-3
AWAY Velez Mostar
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Siroki Brijeg vs Velez Mostar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Velez Mostar got the better of Siroki Brijeg 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Siroki Brijeg at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Siroki Brijeg had 39% of the ball to Velez Mostar's 61%, shots finished 11-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Velez Mostar led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Siroki Brijeg and 2.00 for Velez Mostar.

What was the final score of Siroki Brijeg vs Velez Mostar?

Siroki Brijeg 1-3 Velez Mostar in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Siroki Brijeg vs Velez Mostar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Siroki Brijeg win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Siroki Brijeg 50%, draw 27%, Velez Mostar 23%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Siroki Brijeg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
10 Aug 2025
19:45 Radnik Bijeljina vs Posusje Analysis →