Dinamo Tbilisi 1-1 Samgurali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.75
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
27%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
53%
+4.2pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.6pp
21%
Away Win
21%
+0.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.6pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Samgurali EU Bookmakers 24%
+7% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +2%
2.09/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.51
+14% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Samgurali
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.04.2025 Samgurali Samgurali 0-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
06.03.2025 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 2-1 HT 1-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
05.10.2024 Samgurali Samgurali 1-2 HT 1-1 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
03.08.2024 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 0-1 HT 0-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
20.04.2024 Samgurali Samgurali 3-1 HT 1-1 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
02.03.2024 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 2-0 HT 2-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi
1-1
AWAY Samgurali
67% Ball Possession 33%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dinamo Tbilisi vs Samgurali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Tbilisi and Samgurali couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Dinamo Tbilisi carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Dinamo Tbilisi had 67% of the ball to Samgurali's 33%, shots finished 15-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Tbilisi had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dinamo Tbilisi and 1.00 for Samgurali.

What was the final score of Dinamo Tbilisi vs Samgurali?

Dinamo Tbilisi 1-1 Samgurali in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Tbilisi vs Samgurali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Tbilisi win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Tbilisi 57%, draw 21%, Samgurali 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Dinamo Tbilisi), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Tbilisi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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