Ujpest 1-2 Paksi SE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.51
Over 2.5
50%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.49
No
44%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.0
2-3 Goals
43%
1.93
4-5 Goals
23%
2.58
6+ Goals
11%
6.26
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
51%
-8.7pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.0pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
36%
+14.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
64%
-14.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
63%
-7.0pp
44%
BTTS No
37%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ujpest EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Paksi SE EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
1.61/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.50
-2% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
378 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 73%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
19.6 Crosses 26.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ujpest
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Paksi SE
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.42 xG 2.12
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
320 Passes 274
73% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 32
19 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.03.2025 Paksi SE Paksi SE 6-1 HT 1-1 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
09.11.2024 Ujpest Ujpest 0-0 HT 0-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
04.08.2024 Paksi SE Paksi SE 2-1 HT 1-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
31.03.2024 Paksi SE Paksi SE 1-2 HT 1-1 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
29.02.2024 Ujpest Ujpest 1-2 HT 0-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MACK
03.12.2023 Ujpest Ujpest 1-2 HT 1-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ujpest
1-2
AWAY Paksi SE
1.37 xG 1.71
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
336 Passes 223
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
28 Box Touches 29
23 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ujpest vs Paksi SE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paksi SE nicked a narrow win over Ujpest 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Ujpest at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Ujpest had 57% of the ball to Paksi SE's 43%, shots finished 15-18, expected goals 1.37 to 1.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paksi SE led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ujpest and 2.17 for Paksi SE.

What was the final score of Ujpest vs Paksi SE?

Ujpest 1-2 Paksi SE in the Hungary - NB I on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ujpest vs Paksi SE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ujpest win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ujpest 43%, draw 27%, Paksi SE 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ujpest) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ujpest) ✓ BTTS Yes
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