Botsvana 0-4 Mısır — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Cup, 10 Sep 2024

📅10/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.91
Draw
31%
3.72
Away
47%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.53
No
58%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.36
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
5.13
6+ Goals
6%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
3%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
29%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
14%
+7.8pp
31%
Draw
24%
+7.6pp
47%
Away Win
63%
-15.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
36%
+6.7pp
58%
BTTS No
64%
-6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botsvana EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Mısır EU Bookmakers 67%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
0.53/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/0.92
-33% / +103% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -20%
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
221 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.4
Crosses 19.0
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botsvana
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Mısır
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
4 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 7
14.10.2019 Mısır Mısır 1-0 HT 0-0 Botsvana Botsvana HAZ
15.10.2014 Mısır Mısır 2-0 HT 0-0 Botsvana Botsvana AFUK
10.10.2014 Botsvana Botsvana 0-2 HT 0-0 Mısır Mısır AFUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botsvana
0-4
AWAY Mısır
1.04 xG 3.02
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 3
314 Passes 459
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Botsvana vs Mısır
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mısır cruised past Botsvana 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Mısır as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Botsvana had 43% of the ball to Mısır's 57%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.04 to 3.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Mısır led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Botsvana and 1.67 for Mısır.

What was the final score of Botsvana vs Mısır?

Botsvana 0-4 Mısır in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 10/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botsvana vs Mısır?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mısır win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Botsvana 22%, draw 31%, Mısır 47%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mısır), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mısır) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AFUK More Afrika Uluslar Cup
10 Sep 2024
16:00 Esvatini vs Mali Analysis →
16:00 Güney Sudan vs Güney Afrika Analysis →
16:00 Ruanda vs Nijerya Analysis →
16:00 Mozambik vs Gine Bissau Analysis →
19:00 Liberya vs Cezayir Analysis →
19:00 Zimbabve vs Kamerun Analysis →