Ruanda 0-0 Nijerya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Cup, 10 Sep 2024

📅10/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.65
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
51%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.45
Over 2.5
39%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.44
No
65%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.1
2-3 Goals
35%
1.82
4-5 Goals
18%
6.08
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
22%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
18%
+3.7pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.8pp
51%
Away Win
54%
-2.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
65%
-4.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
35%
+4.3pp
34%
BTTS Yes
37%
-2.4pp
66%
BTTS No
63%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ruanda EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Nijerya EU Bookmakers 57%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
0.21/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/0.33
-76% / +101% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +118%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
242 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 435 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 36.8
Crosses 21.9
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ruanda
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Nijerya
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
16.06.2012 Nijerya Nijerya 2-0 HT 1-0 Ruanda Ruanda AFUK
29.02.2012 Ruanda Ruanda 0-0 HT 0-0 Nijerya Nijerya AFUK
05.06.2005 Ruanda Ruanda 1-1 HT 0-0 Nijerya Nijerya DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ruanda
0-0
AWAY Nijerya
0.55 xG 1.76
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 7
307 Passes 317
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
9 Box Touches 26
21 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ruanda vs Nijerya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ruanda and Nijerya fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Nijerya at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (66%) came in.

On the day, Ruanda had 49% of the ball to Nijerya's 51%, shots finished 16-20, expected goals 0.55 to 1.76.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Nijerya led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Ruanda and 1.00 for Nijerya.

What was the final score of Ruanda vs Nijerya?

Ruanda 0-0 Nijerya in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 10/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ruanda vs Nijerya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nijerya win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Ruanda 22%, draw 27%, Nijerya 51%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Nijerya) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nijerya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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