Liberya 0-3 Cezayir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Cup, 10 Sep 2024

📅10/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.91
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
47%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.6
Over 2.5
38%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.44
No
60%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.49
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
14%
4.77
6+ Goals
6%
27.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.49 — our 36% vs market 33.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
14%
+11.4pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.1pp
47%
Away Win
63%
-15.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
37%
+3.1pp
60%
BTTS No
63%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liberya EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Cezayir EU Bookmakers 67%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
0.71/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.20
+31% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -6%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
227 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 82%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.2
25.0 Crosses 15.9
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liberya
0-3
AWAY Cezayir
0.61 xG 1.73
32% Ball Possession 68%
15 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 7
193 Passes 492
75% Pass Accuracy 87%
11 Box Touches 28
10 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Liberya vs Cezayir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cezayir ran out comfortable winners over Liberya 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cezayir as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while under 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

On the day, Liberya had 32% of the ball to Cezayir's 68%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 0.61 to 1.73.

What was the final score of Liberya vs Cezayir?

Liberya 0-3 Cezayir in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 10/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liberya vs Cezayir?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cezayir win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Liberya 25%, draw 28%, Cezayir 47%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cezayir), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cezayir) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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