Esvatini vs Mali Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Esvatini v Mali — Team-Based Signals
Esvatini 0-1 Mali — Actual Match Statistics
Mali nicked a narrow win over Esvatini 1-0 away from home.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mali as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Esvatini had 34% of the ball to Mali's 66%, shots finished 4-21, expected goals 0.11 to 0.97.
What was the final score of Esvatini vs Mali?
Esvatini 0-1 Mali in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 10/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Esvatini vs Mali?
Before kick-off our model rated an Mali win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Esvatini 19%, draw 25%, Mali 56%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mali), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.