Güney Sudan 2-3 Güney Afrika — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Cup, 10 Sep 2024

📅10/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.91
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
53%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.45
Over 2.5
37%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.75
No
60%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.08
2-3 Goals
43%
1.83
4-5 Goals
16%
6.18
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
28%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
14%
+3.7pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.0pp
53%
Away Win
60%
-6.7pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
32%
+7.8pp
60%
BTTS No
68%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Güney Sudan EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Güney Afrika EU Bookmakers 64%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+31% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
209 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 80%
12.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.2 Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Güney Sudan
2-3
AWAY Güney Afrika
1.23 xG 2.25
28% Ball Possession 72%
6 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 6
145 Passes 489
70% Pass Accuracy 90%
16 Box Touches 40
11 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Güney Sudan vs Güney Afrika
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Güney Afrika squeezed past Güney Sudan 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Güney Afrika as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Güney Sudan had 28% of the ball to Güney Afrika's 72%, shots finished 6-22, expected goals 1.23 to 2.25.

What was the final score of Güney Sudan vs Güney Afrika?

Güney Sudan 2-3 Güney Afrika in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 10/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Güney Sudan vs Güney Afrika?

Before kick-off our model rated an Güney Afrika win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Güney Sudan 18%, draw 29%, Güney Afrika 53%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Güney Afrika) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Güney Afrika) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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