İngiltere 2-0 Finlandiya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 10 Sep 2024

📅10/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.16
Draw
21%
7.13
Away
19%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.6
No
53%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.48
2-3 Goals
38%
2.0
4-5 Goals
24%
2.66
6+ Goals
15%
6.49
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.23
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
34.5
X/1
21%
3.26
X/2
6%
34.5
X/X
10%
11.7
2/1
9%
29.0
2/2
6%
34.5
2/X
6%
34.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
82%
-22.6pp
22%
Draw
12%
+10.0pp
19%
Away Win
6%
+12.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
34%
+12.5pp
53%
BTTS No
66%
-12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İngiltere EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Finlandiya EU Bookmakers 8%
-46% / -46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.66/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.47
-40% / -77% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -26%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
513 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 76%
47.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
21.8 Crosses 16.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İngiltere
2-0
AWAY Finlandiya
1.58 xG 0.09
79% Ball Possession 21%
22 Total Shots 2
8 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 2
731 Passes 153
92% Pass Accuracy 71%
70 Box Touches 3
29 Crosses 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH İngiltere vs Finlandiya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İngiltere beat Finlandiya 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had İngiltere as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, İngiltere had 79% of the ball to Finlandiya's 21%, shots finished 22-2, expected goals 1.58 to 0.09.

What was the final score of İngiltere vs Finlandiya?

İngiltere 2-0 Finlandiya in the UEFA Uluslar League on 10/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İngiltere vs Finlandiya?

Before kick-off our model rated a İngiltere win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split İngiltere 60%, draw 22%, Finlandiya 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İngiltere), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İngiltere) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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