Letonya 1-0 Faroe Adaları — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 10 Sep 2024

📅10/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.26
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
5.41
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.88
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.0
X/1
11%
4.12
X/2
4%
7.13
X/X
19%
3.73
2/1
8%
31.5
2/2
11%
6.17
2/X
6%
15.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.3pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.0pp
25%
Away Win
25%
-0.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.9pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Letonya EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Faroe Adaları EU Bookmakers 29%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.83/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/0.68
-27% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +34%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
321 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 74%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
19.0 Crosses 19.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Letonya
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Faroe Adaları
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.96 xG 0.73
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
276 Passes 301
70% Pass Accuracy 70%
12 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
11.06.2024 Letonya Letonya 1-0 HT 0-0 Faroe Adaları Faroe Adaları BALTIK
14.11.2020 Letonya Letonya 1-1 HT 0-0 Faroe Adaları Faroe Adaları AVUL
10.10.2020 Faroe Adaları Faroe Adaları 1-1 HT 1-1 Letonya Letonya AVUL
22.03.2018 Faroe Adaları Faroe Adaları 1-1 HT 1-0 Letonya Letonya HAZ
07.10.2017 Faroe Adaları Faroe Adaları 0-0 HT 0-0 Letonya Letonya DKE
07.10.2016 Letonya Letonya 0-2 HT 0-1 Faroe Adaları Faroe Adaları DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Letonya
1-0
AWAY Faroe Adaları
1.52 xG 1.38
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
409 Passes 348
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
29 Box Touches 9
18 Crosses 25
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Letonya vs Faroe Adaları
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Letonya squeezed past Faroe Adaları 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Letonya as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Letonya had 53% of the ball to Faroe Adaları's 47%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.52 to 1.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Letonya and 0.83 for Faroe Adaları.

What was the final score of Letonya vs Faroe Adaları?

Letonya 1-0 Faroe Adaları in the UEFA Uluslar League on 10/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Letonya vs Faroe Adaları?

Before kick-off our model rated a Letonya win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Letonya 45%, draw 31%, Faroe Adaları 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Letonya), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Letonya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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