Andorra 0-1 Malta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 10 Sep 2024

📅10/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.17
Draw
40%
2.66
Away
32%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
1.26
Over 2.5
28%
3.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.67
No
66%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
50%
1.65
2-3 Goals
32%
2.02
4-5 Goals
12%
9.82
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
5.63
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
7%
17.25
X/1
7%
5.99
X/2
18%
4.48
X/X
30%
2.8
2/1
3%
34.5
2/2
11%
3.8
2/X
3%
16.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
28%
-0.4pp
40%
Draw
34%
+5.1pp
32%
Away Win
37%
-4.8pp
72%
Under 2.5
76%
-3.7pp
28%
Over 2.5
24%
+3.7pp
34%
BTTS Yes
33%
+0.6pp
66%
BTTS No
67%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Andorra EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Malta EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
216 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
Crosses 13.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Andorra
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Malta
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.23 xG 1.12
28% Ball Possession 72%
6 Total Shots 12
0 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
90 Passes 397
49% Pass Accuracy 82%
9 Box Touches 18
10 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.11.2020 Malta Malta 3-1 HT 0-1 Andorra Andorra AVUL
10.10.2020 Andorra Andorra 0-0 HT 0-0 Malta Malta AVUL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Andorra
0-1
AWAY Malta
0.96 xG 0.60
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
200 Passes 264
65% Pass Accuracy 70%
16 Box Touches 10
13 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Andorra vs Malta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malta nicked a narrow win over Andorra 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 28% / 40% / 32% — and on the day Malta made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (72%), no to both teams scoring (66%) came in.

On the day, Andorra had 45% of the ball to Malta's 55%, shots finished 8-8, expected goals 0.96 to 0.60.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Malta led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Andorra and 1.50 for Malta.

What was the final score of Andorra vs Malta?

Andorra 0-1 Malta in the UEFA Uluslar League on 10/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Andorra vs Malta?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Andorra 28%, draw 40%, Malta 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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