Hollanda 2-2 Almanya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 10 Sep 2024

📅10/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.5
No
43%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.66
2-3 Goals
38%
1.91
4-5 Goals
25%
2.86
6+ Goals
13%
8.04
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.37
1/2
4%
26.0
1/X
6%
11.9
X/1
6%
5.76
X/2
15%
6.17
X/X
13%
5.18
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
24.85
2/2
15%
3.71
2/X
6%
12.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.85 — our 12% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+1.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.5pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
62%
-5.2pp
43%
BTTS No
38%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hollanda EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Almanya EU Bookmakers 38%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.38/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/2.42
+1% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +84% / -73%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
377 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 80%
31.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.9
20.9 Crosses 9.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hollanda
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Almanya
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.42 xG 1.65
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
413 Passes 505
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
19 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.03.2024 Almanya Almanya 2-1 HT 1-1 Hollanda Hollanda HAZ
29.03.2022 Hollanda Hollanda 1-1 HT 0-1 Almanya Almanya HAZ
06.09.2019 Almanya Almanya 2-4 HT 1-0 Hollanda Hollanda AVŞE
24.03.2019 Hollanda Hollanda 2-3 HT 0-2 Almanya Almanya AVŞE
19.11.2018 Almanya Almanya 2-2 HT 2-0 Hollanda Hollanda AVUL
13.10.2018 Hollanda Hollanda 3-0 HT 1-0 Almanya Almanya AVUL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hollanda
2-2
AWAY Almanya
2.36 xG 2.94
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 10
302 Passes 453
88% Pass Accuracy 90%
25 Box Touches 43
11 Crosses 26
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hollanda vs Almanya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hollanda and Almanya couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Hollanda at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Hollanda had 40% of the ball to Almanya's 60%, shots finished 11-21, expected goals 2.36 to 2.94.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Hollanda and 1.67 for Almanya.

What was the final score of Hollanda vs Almanya?

Hollanda 2-2 Almanya in the UEFA Uluslar League on 10/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hollanda vs Almanya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hollanda win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hollanda 41%, draw 25%, Almanya 34%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hollanda) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hollanda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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