Arnavutluk 0-1 Gürcistan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 10 Sep 2024

📅10/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
41%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.65
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.42
6+ Goals
9%
23.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
3.51
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.45
X/1
20%
4.99
X/2
16%
5.87
X/X
14%
3.99
2/1
5%
31.0
2/2
19%
4.42
2/X
6%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
40%
-5.5pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.0pp
41%
Away Win
31%
+9.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.4pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arnavutluk EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Gürcistan EU Bookmakers 34%
-37% / -37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
1.37/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.09/1.05
-22% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 81%
30.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
27.2 Crosses 9.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arnavutluk
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Gürcistan
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
5 Corners 2
06.02.2013 Arnavutluk Arnavutluk 1-2 HT 1-1 Gürcistan Gürcistan HAZ
29.02.2012 Gürcistan Gürcistan 2-1 HT 0-1 Arnavutluk Arnavutluk HAZ
10.06.2009 Arnavutluk Arnavutluk 1-1 HT 0-1 Gürcistan Gürcistan HAZ
04.06.2005 Arnavutluk Arnavutluk 3-2 HT 2-0 Gürcistan Gürcistan DKE
08.09.2004 Gürcistan Gürcistan 2-0 HT 1-0 Arnavutluk Arnavutluk DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arnavutluk
0-1
AWAY Gürcistan
0.33 xG 0.99
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 15
0 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 4
497 Passes 509
89% Pass Accuracy 88%
9 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arnavutluk vs Gürcistan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gürcistan nicked a narrow win over Arnavutluk 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gürcistan as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Arnavutluk had 49% of the ball to Gürcistan's 51%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 0.33 to 0.99.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Gürcistan led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Arnavutluk and 1.80 for Gürcistan.

What was the final score of Arnavutluk vs Gürcistan?

Arnavutluk 0-1 Gürcistan in the UEFA Uluslar League on 10/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arnavutluk vs Gürcistan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gürcistan win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Arnavutluk 34%, draw 25%, Gürcistan 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gürcistan), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gürcistan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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