Kuzey Makedonya 2-0 Ermenistan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 10 Sep 2024

📅10/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
35%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.67
2-3 Goals
45%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.41
6+ Goals
8%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
2.94
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.0
X/1 EV+ ✓
23%
4.41
X/2
15%
6.82
X/X
12%
4.11
2/1
4%
28.5
2/2
17%
5.42
2/X
6%
14.4
Value flag · X/1 at 4.41 — our 23% vs market 17.7%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.4pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.7pp
35%
Away Win
27%
+8.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kuzey Makedonya EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Ermenistan EU Bookmakers 31%
-63% / -63% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +66% / +66%
0.49/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/1.33
-100% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +75% / +33%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 82%
14.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
14.1 Crosses 13.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kuzey Makedonya
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ermenistan
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.43 xG 1.34
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
439 Passes 274
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.10.2023 Kuzey Makedonya Kuzey Makedonya 3-1 HT 1-0 Ermenistan Ermenistan HAZ
11.11.2021 Ermenistan Ermenistan 0-5 HT 0-2 Kuzey Makedonya Kuzey Makedonya DKE
02.09.2021 Kuzey Makedonya Kuzey Makedonya 0-0 HT 0-0 Ermenistan Ermenistan DKE
18.11.2020 Ermenistan Ermenistan 1-0 HT 0-0 Kuzey Makedonya Kuzey Makedonya AVUL
05.09.2020 Kuzey Makedonya Kuzey Makedonya 2-1 HT 2-0 Ermenistan Ermenistan AVUL
16.10.2018 Ermenistan Ermenistan 4-0 HT 1-0 Kuzey Makedonya Kuzey Makedonya AVUL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kuzey Makedonya
2-0
AWAY Ermenistan
0.91 xG 0.59
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 3
294 Passes 441
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kuzey Makedonya vs Ermenistan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kuzey Makedonya beat Ermenistan 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 24% / 35%) promised a tight game; Kuzey Makedonya found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Kuzey Makedonya had 42% of the ball to Ermenistan's 58%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 0.91 to 0.59.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kuzey Makedonya had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Kuzey Makedonya and 1.17 for Ermenistan.

What was the final score of Kuzey Makedonya vs Ermenistan?

Kuzey Makedonya 2-0 Ermenistan in the UEFA Uluslar League on 10/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kuzey Makedonya vs Ermenistan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kuzey Makedonya win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kuzey Makedonya 40%, draw 24%, Ermenistan 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kuzey Makedonya), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kuzey Makedonya) ✓ Under 2.5
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