Kosta Rika vs Haiti Prediction — Model Probabilities
Kosta Rika v Haiti — Team-Based Signals
Kosta Rika vs Haiti Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Kosta Rika 3-3 Haiti — Actual Match Statistics
Kosta Rika and Haiti finished all square at 3-3. From 2-0 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Kosta Rika at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 50% for over 2.5, 48% on both teams scoring.
On the day, Kosta Rika had 46% of the ball to Haiti's 54%, shots finished 24-11, expected goals 2.06 to 2.01.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kosta Rika had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kosta Rika and 0.83 for Haiti.
Kosta Rika vs Haiti Result & Final Score
Kosta Rika 3 - 3 Haiti in the World Cup Qualifiers on 10/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Kosta Rika vs Haiti Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Kosta Rika win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Kosta Rika 64%, draw 22%, Haiti 14%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.