Kosta Rika vs Haiti Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kosta Rika v Haiti — Team-Based Signals
Kosta Rika vs Haiti Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Haiti
CON
1-1
HT 0-0
Kosta Rika
CON
2-1
HT 0-1
Kosta Rika
GK
0-1
HT 0-0
Kosta Rika
DKE
1-0
HT 1-0
Haiti
DKE
1-1
HT 0-0
Kosta Rika
GK
Kosta Rika 3-3 Haiti — Actual Match Statistics
Kosta Rika and Haiti shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Kosta Rika at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Kosta Rika had 46% of the ball to Haiti's 54%, shots finished 24-11, expected goals 2.06 to 2.01.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kosta Rika had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kosta Rika and 0.83 for Haiti.
What was the final score of Kosta Rika vs Haiti?
Kosta Rika 3-3 Haiti in the World Cup Qualifiers on 10/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kosta Rika vs Haiti?
Before kick-off our model rated a Kosta Rika win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Kosta Rika 52%, draw 27%, Haiti 21%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.