Deportivo Pasto vs Independiente Medellin Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Colombia - Cup, 10 Sep 2026

📅10/09/2026 · 🕒04:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.18
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
42%
2.1
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Half Time / Full Time
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STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Pasto
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Independiente Medellin
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.95 xG 0.77
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
208 Passes 364
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.01.2026 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 1-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
19.08.2025 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 1-2 HT 1-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
04.03.2025 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
09.09.2024 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 1-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
01.03.2024 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
27.10.2023 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 0-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
PREVIEW Deportivo Pasto vs Independiente Medellin
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

Neither Deportivo Pasto nor Independiente Medellin earn a real lean from the model — expect a game decided by fine details.

Deportivo Pasto's recent home league games have been goal-heavy — 4 of the last 5 cleared 2.5.

Looking at the history: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Medellin lead the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.50 a game for Deportivo Pasto against 0.67 for Independiente Medellin.

Deportivo Pasto vs Independiente Medellin Kick-off Time

Deportivo Pasto play Independiente Medellin in the Colombia - Cup on 10/09/2026, kick-off 04:10 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Deportivo Pasto vs Independiente Medellin Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Deportivo Pasto vs Independiente Medellin is an Independiente Medellin win at about 42% probability, priced 2.1 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Deportivo Pasto 28%, draw 30%, Independiente Medellin 42%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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