Suudi Arabistan 0-2 Japonya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 10 Oct 2024

Suudi Arabistan
0-2 HT 0-1
Japonya
📅10/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Suudi Arabistan vs Japonya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.71
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
51%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.35
2-3 Goals
44%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
3.52
6+ Goals
9%
13.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.35 — our 28% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
8.54
1/2
12%
24.0
1/X
8%
16.0
X/1
9%
10.7
X/2
16%
3.87
X/X
12%
5.02
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
23%
2.07
2/X
6%
15.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
18%
+3.6pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.6pp
51%
Away Win
58%
-6.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.3pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Suudi Arabistan v Japonya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suudi Arabistan EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Japonya EU Bookmakers 62%
+49% / +49% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.77/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/0.13
+32% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +150%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
249 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 81%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
16.0 Crosses 20.0
– Yellow Cards 0.9

Suudi Arabistan vs Japonya Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suudi Arabistan
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Japonya
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.60 xG 0.93
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
459 Passes 269
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
13 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
01.02.2022 Japonya Japonya 2-0 HT 1-0 Suudi Arabistan Suudi Arabistan DKE
07.10.2021 Suudi Arabistan Suudi Arabistan 1-0 HT 0-0 Japonya Japonya DKE
21.01.2019 Japonya Japonya 1-0 HT 1-0 Suudi Arabistan Suudi Arabistan ASK
05.09.2017 Suudi Arabistan Suudi Arabistan 1-0 HT 0-0 Japonya Japonya DKE
15.11.2016 Japonya Japonya 2-1 HT 1-0 Suudi Arabistan Suudi Arabistan DKE
17.01.2011 Suudi Arabistan Suudi Arabistan 0-5 HT 0-3 Japonya Japonya ASK

Suudi Arabistan 0-2 Japonya — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Suudi Arabistan
0-2
AWAY Japonya
0.98 xG 1.03
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
517 Passes 375
87% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 12
14 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Suudi Arabistan vs Japonya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Japonya got the better of Suudi Arabistan 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Japonya as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Suudi Arabistan had 57% of the ball to Japonya's 43%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 0.98 to 1.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Japonya led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Suudi Arabistan and 1.67 for Japonya.

What was the final score of Suudi Arabistan vs Japonya?

Suudi Arabistan 0-2 Japonya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 10/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suudi Arabistan vs Japonya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Japonya win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Suudi Arabistan 22%, draw 27%, Japonya 51%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Japonya), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Japonya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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