Cwmbran Celtic 0-2 Caerau (Ely) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 10 Oct 2025

📅10/10/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
5.91
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
64%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
44%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
14%
+1.2pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.0pp
64%
Away Win
66%
-2.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.6pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cwmbran Celtic EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Caerau (Ely) EU Bookmakers 70%
+6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.68/2.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.36/0.65
+47% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +75%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
242 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 460 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cwmbran Celtic
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Caerau (Ely)
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
03.01.2025 Caerau (Ely) Caerau (Ely) 1-2 HT 0-1 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALFAW
05.10.2024 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 3-2 HT 0-0 Caerau (Ely) Caerau (Ely) GALFAW
12.01.2024 Caerau (Ely) Caerau (Ely) 4-2 HT 1-1 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALFAW
21.10.2023 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 3-2 HT 1-1 Caerau (Ely) Caerau (Ely) GALFAW
POST-MATCH Cwmbran Celtic vs Caerau (Ely)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caerau (Ely) got the better of Cwmbran Celtic 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Caerau (Ely) as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Cwmbran Celtic had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Cwmbran Celtic and 2.25 for Caerau (Ely).

What was the final score of Cwmbran Celtic vs Caerau (Ely)?

Cwmbran Celtic 0-2 Caerau (Ely) in the Wales - FAW Championship on 10/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cwmbran Celtic vs Caerau (Ely)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Caerau (Ely) win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Cwmbran Celtic 15%, draw 21%, Caerau (Ely) 64%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caerau (Ely)), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Caerau (Ely)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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