Le Havre 0-3 Reims — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
43%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.7
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.34
6+ Goals
9%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.09
1/2
8%
29.5
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
9%
6.65
X/2
14%
4.73
X/X
11%
3.94
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
21%
3.14
2/X
9%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+2.0pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.9pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+1.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.3pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Le Havre EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Reims EU Bookmakers 45%
+5% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +2%
1.55/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.53
+49% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -12%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
304 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 78%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.6
18.6 Crosses 17.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Le Havre
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Reims
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.00 xG 2.28
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
268 Passes 352
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 30
18 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.02.2024 Le Havre Le Havre 1-2 HT 0-0 Reims Reims FR1
20.12.2023 Reims Reims 1-0 HT 1-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR1
30.04.2018 Reims Reims 0-1 HT 0-1 Le Havre Le Havre FR2
06.11.2017 Le Havre Le Havre 0-0 HT 0-0 Reims Reims FR2
31.03.2017 Le Havre Le Havre 1-1 HT 1-0 Reims Reims FR2
28.10.2016 Reims Reims 1-0 HT 1-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Le Havre
0-3
AWAY Reims
1.45 xG 2.65
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 7
329 Passes 283
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 31
33 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Le Havre vs Reims
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Reims ran out comfortable winners over Le Havre 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Reims as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Le Havre had 55% of the ball to Reims's 45%, shots finished 10-18, expected goals 1.45 to 2.65.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Reims led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Le Havre and 0.83 for Reims.

What was the final score of Le Havre vs Reims?

Le Havre 0-3 Reims in the France - Ligue 1 on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Le Havre vs Reims?

Before kick-off our model rated an Reims win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Le Havre 31%, draw 26%, Reims 43%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Reims), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Reims) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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