Montpellier vs Brest Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Montpellier v Brest — Team-Based Signals
Montpellier vs Brest Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-1
Brest
FR1
3-0
HT 2-0
Brest
FR1
0-7
HT 0-5
Montpellier
FR1
1-2
HT 0-0
Brest
FR1
0-4
HT 0-1
Montpellier
FR1
Montpellier 3-1 Brest — Actual Match Statistics
Montpellier got the better of Brest 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
Our pre-match lean was Brest at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Montpellier had 33% of the ball to Brest's 67%, shots finished 14-19, expected goals 2.49 to 0.93.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Montpellier and 1.17 for Brest.
What was the final score of Montpellier vs Brest?
Montpellier 3-1 Brest in the France - Ligue 1 on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Montpellier vs Brest?
Before kick-off our model rated an Brest win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Montpellier 34%, draw 25%, Brest 41%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brest) went the other way.