Rennes 0-2 Toulouse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 10 Nov 2024

Rennes
0-2 HT 0-2
Toulouse
📅10/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

Rennes vs Toulouse Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.0
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.89
6+ Goals
10%
17.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.2
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
18%
4.82
X/2
12%
6.21
X/X
10%
4.38
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
17%
4.57
2/X
6%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 52% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.2pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.9pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.1pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rennes v Toulouse — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rennes EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Toulouse EU Bookmakers 34%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
1.70/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.38
+36% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
315 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 77%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
16.4 Crosses 15.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0

Rennes vs Toulouse Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rennes
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Toulouse
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.44 xG 1.12
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
402 Passes 294
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.04.2024 Rennes Rennes 1-2 HT 1-2 Toulouse Toulouse FR1
17.12.2023 Toulouse Toulouse 0-0 HT 0-0 Rennes Rennes FR1
12.02.2023 Toulouse Toulouse 3-1 HT 3-0 Rennes Rennes FR1
12.11.2022 Rennes Rennes 2-1 HT 1-0 Toulouse Toulouse FR1
29.02.2020 Toulouse Toulouse 0-2 HT 0-1 Rennes Rennes FR1
27.10.2019 Rennes Rennes 3-2 HT 2-1 Toulouse Toulouse FR1

Rennes 0-2 Toulouse — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rennes
0-2
AWAY Toulouse
0.58 xG 1.37
67% Ball Possession 33%
7 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
513 Passes 213
86% Pass Accuracy 71%
18 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rennes vs Toulouse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Toulouse beat Rennes 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (41% / 23% / 36%) promised a tight game; Toulouse found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Rennes had 67% of the ball to Toulouse's 33%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 0.58 to 1.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rennes had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Rennes and 1.33 for Toulouse.

What was the final score of Rennes vs Toulouse?

Rennes 0-2 Toulouse in the France - Ligue 1 on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rennes vs Toulouse?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rennes win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Rennes 41%, draw 23%, Toulouse 36%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Rennes) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rennes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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