Club Guarani 1-2 Libertad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 10 Nov 2025

📅10/11/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.0pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.6pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+5.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.9pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Guarani EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Libertad EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -27%
1.53/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.63
+27% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -28%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
344 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
32.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.0 Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Guarani
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Libertad
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.10.2025 Libertad Libertad 2-2 HT 1-2 Club Guarani Club Guarani PARK
26.08.2025 Libertad Libertad 0-4 HT 0-2 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
20.04.2025 Libertad Libertad 1-3 HT 1-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
10.02.2025 Club Guarani Club Guarani 0-1 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
06.10.2024 Libertad Libertad 0-2 HT 0-1 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
03.08.2024 Club Guarani Club Guarani 0-0 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Guarani
1-2
AWAY Libertad
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Club Guarani vs Libertad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Libertad nicked a narrow win over Club Guarani 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Libertad found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Club Guarani had 47% of the ball to Libertad's 53%, shots finished 11-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Guarani had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Club Guarani and 0.67 for Libertad.

What was the final score of Club Guarani vs Libertad?

Club Guarani 1-2 Libertad in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 10/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Guarani vs Libertad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Guarani win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Club Guarani 39%, draw 25%, Libertad 36%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Club Guarani) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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