Ajax vs RKC Waalwijk Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ajax v RKC Waalwijk — Team-Based Signals
Ajax vs RKC Waalwijk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 1-2
Ajax
HOL
2-3
HT 1-2
Ajax
HOL
3-1
HT 0-1
RKC Waalwijk
HOL
1-4
HT 1-1
Ajax
HOL
Ajax 2-1 RKC Waalwijk — Actual Match Statistics
Ajax edged past RKC Waalwijk 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ajax as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (68%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Ajax had 60% of the ball to RKC Waalwijk's 40%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 2.46 to 0.95 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Ajax's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajax had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Ajax and 1.17 for RKC Waalwijk.
What was the final score of Ajax vs RKC Waalwijk?
Ajax 2-1 RKC Waalwijk in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ajax vs RKC Waalwijk?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ajax win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Ajax 71%, draw 17%, RKC Waalwijk 13%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajax), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.