PSV Eindhoven vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PSV Eindhoven v AZ Alkmaar — Team-Based Signals
PSV Eindhoven vs AZ Alkmaar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-4
HT 0-3
PSV Eindhoven
HOL
1-2
HT 0-0
PSV Eindhoven
HOL
0-1
HT 0-1
AZ Alkmaar
HOL
1-2
HT 1-1
AZ Alkmaar
HOL
PSV Eindhoven 2-2 AZ Alkmaar — Actual Match Statistics
PSV Eindhoven and AZ Alkmaar shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was PSV Eindhoven at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, PSV Eindhoven had 79% of the ball to AZ Alkmaar's 21%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 2.15 to 1.42.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSV Eindhoven had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for PSV Eindhoven and 1.00 for AZ Alkmaar.
What was the final score of PSV Eindhoven vs AZ Alkmaar?
PSV Eindhoven 2-2 AZ Alkmaar in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for PSV Eindhoven vs AZ Alkmaar?
Before kick-off our model rated a PSV Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split PSV Eindhoven 54%, draw 21%, AZ Alkmaar 25%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (PSV Eindhoven) went the other way.