Norwich City 5-1 Walsall — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 11 Jan 2026

📅11/01/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
34%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.33
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.31
6+ Goals
10%
12.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.17
1/2
10%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.7
X/1
18%
4.22
X/2
13%
9.86
X/X
11%
5.3
2/1
8%
23.1
2/2
11%
7.92
2/X
5%
16.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
56%
-13.2pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.9pp
34%
Away Win
20%
+14.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.9pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Norwich City EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Walsall EU Bookmakers 23%
-33% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
0.76/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/1.10
-64% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / +76%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
280 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 71%
10.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
7.0 Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Norwich City
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Walsall
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
12 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
26.01.2010 Walsall Walsall 1-2 HT 1-0 Norwich City Norwich City İN1
05.09.2009 Norwich City Norwich City 0-0 HT 0-0 Walsall Walsall İN1
17.04.2004 Norwich City Norwich City 5-0 HT 2-0 Walsall Walsall İNCL
01.11.2003 Walsall Walsall 1-3 HT 1-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
19.04.2003 Walsall Walsall 0-0 HT 0-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
21.12.2002 Norwich City Norwich City 2-1 HT 0-0 Walsall Walsall İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Norwich City
5-1
AWAY Walsall
3.11 xG 0.32
78% Ball Possession 22%
23 Total Shots 5
15 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 3
688 Passes 143
91% Pass Accuracy 67%
50 Box Touches 4
28 Crosses 12
POST-MATCH Norwich City vs Walsall
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Norwich City swept aside Walsall 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Norwich City as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Norwich City had 78% of the ball to Walsall's 22%, shots finished 23-5, expected goals 3.11 to 0.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Norwich City had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Norwich City and 0.50 for Walsall.

What was the final score of Norwich City vs Walsall?

Norwich City 5-1 Walsall in the England - FA Cup on 11/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Norwich City vs Walsall?

Before kick-off our model rated a Norwich City win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Norwich City 43%, draw 23%, Walsall 34%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Norwich City), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Norwich City) ✓ BTTS Yes
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